Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.66
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
Waalwijk travel to GS Staalwerken Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 21 August (19:00 WAT) to face Helmond Sport. Helmond Sport are 7th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Helmond Sport's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Roda 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Waalwijk's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Dordrecht 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Helmond Sport 2–2 Waalwijk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Helmond Sport and 1.8 for Waalwijk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Helmond Sport 26%, draw 17%, Waalwijk 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Waalwijk to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helmond Sport26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.60
Waalwijk57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
2.84Expected goals
1.06Helmond Sport xG
1.78Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.1 – 1.8 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Waalwijk 57%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
