Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht preview and prediction
The match
Waalwijk host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Mandemakers Stadion. Waalwijk are 12th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Dordrecht sit 4th on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waalwijk's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Vitesse 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dordrecht's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Jong Ajax 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Dordrecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Waalwijk and 0.9 for Dordrecht. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Waalwijk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waalwijk 1–0 Dordrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waalwijk64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw13%fair 7.67 · @3.80
Dordrecht23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
2.78Expected goals
1.87Waalwijk xG
0.91Dordrecht xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 1.9 – 0.9 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Half-time result
Waalwijk ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.63
–
Form
Waalwijk – last 6
DWLLDD
7 Aug
@ Vitesse
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Kifisia
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Patro Eisden
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Bochum II
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Kozakken Boys
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Jong AZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
WLDWWL
7 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs RSC Anderlecht II
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Lusail City
5–0
W
14 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund II
4–1
W
11 Jul
vs Excelsior
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Dordrecht.
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Dordrecht 23%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 1–0 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
