Heracles host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Asito Stadium. Heracles are 16th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Den Bosch sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat VVV Venlo 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Den Bosch's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Almere City FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Den Bosch arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for Heracles and 1.4 for Den Bosch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heracles 61%, draw 20%, Den Bosch 18%.
Safer route: Heracles or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heracles 2–1 Den Bosch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.40
Den Bosch18%fair 5.51 · @5.10
3.89Expected goals
2.52Heracles xG
1.37Den Bosch xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.5 – 1.4 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.65
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Heracles – last 6
WLWLLL
7 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
4–3
W
24 Jul
vs Excelsior
3–5
L
8 Jul
vs Groningen
2–1
W
17 May
vs Groningen
1–2
L
3 May
@ PEC Zwolle
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs FC Volendam
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 6
DWWDWL
8 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Al-Fayha
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Lusail City
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ FC Eindhoven
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Quick Boys
3–1
W
2 May
@ Almere City FC
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Den Bosch.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Heracles vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Heracles have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Den Bosch 18%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Den Bosch?
Heracles vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
