Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNAC Breda to win ✗63% · @1.45
Double chanceNAC Breda or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
NAC Breda host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Rat Verlegh Stadion. NAC Breda are 13th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NAC Breda's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat FC OSS 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
VVV Venlo's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Heracles 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
NAC Breda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.7 for NAC Breda and 1.4 for VVV Venlo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NAC Breda 2–1 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NAC Breda63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.75
VVV Venlo17%fair 6.01 · @5.80
4.12Expected goals
2.70NAC Breda xG
1.42VVV Venlo xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.7 – 1.4 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Form
NAC Breda – last 6
WLWWLW
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Lokeren-Temse
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Excelsior
1–3
L
15 Jul
@ Hoek
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
LLLLWD
7 Aug
vs Heracles
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs AS Eupen
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Köln
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Viktoria Köln
3–5
L
18 Jul
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ De Treffers
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VVV Venlo 17%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 2–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
