Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Como to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceComo or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Udinese vs Como preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Udinese take on Como on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli. Udinese are 20th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Como sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Padova 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Liverpool 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Udinese 0–0 Como.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Udinese and 1.8 for Como. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 12%, draw 25%, Como 62%.
Safer route: Como or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Como to win at 1.81 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Como or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Udinese 0–1 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese12%fair 8.06 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.45
Como62%fair 1.60 · @1.81
2.47Expected goals
0.68Udinese xG
1.78Como xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Udinese 0.7 – 1.8 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Como or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Udinese vs Como?
On our numbers Udinese have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 62%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Como?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Como?
Our predicted score is Udinese 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Como?
Udinese vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
