Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter to win ✓71% · @1.20
Double chanceInter or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Inter vs Monza preview and prediction
The match
Inter host Monza in the Serie A on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Monza sit 18th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Real Betis 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Monza's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Avellino 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Inter and 0.8 for Monza. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 71%, draw 17%, Monza 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Inter 2–0 Monza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @5.80
Monza12%fair 8.63 · @15.50
3.02Expected goals
2.25Inter xG
0.77Monza xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.2 – 0.8 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WWDDWD
15 Aug
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventus
2–1
W
5 Aug
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
2–1
W
17 May
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
WDLWWL
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
4–3
W
29 May
vs Catanzaro
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Monza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Inter vs Monza?
On our numbers Inter have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monza 12%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Monza?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Monza?
Inter vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
