FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
FBC Melgar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
FBC Melgar host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA. FBC Melgar are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FBC Melgar's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Universitario 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sport Huancayo 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 FBC Melgar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for FBC Melgar and 0.6 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was FBC Melgar to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar67%fair 1.49 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.70
Deportivo Garcilaso12%fair 8.59 · @4.80
2.54Expected goals
1.90FBC Melgar xG
0.64Deportivo Garcilaso xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.9 – 0.6 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Garcilaso 12%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
