Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Lima host Atletico Grau in the Primera División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Cusco 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atletico Grau's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for Alianza Lima and 0.4 for Atletico Grau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 70%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 8%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.42 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.80
Atletico Grau8%fair 13.16 · @9.00
2.18Expected goals
1.76Alianza Lima xG
0.42Atletico Grau xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–018%
0–011%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.8 – 0.4 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.01
–
Form
Alianza Lima – last 6
WLWLDL
12 Oct
@ Cusco
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Palestino
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs ADT
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Universitario
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
DLWLWD
8 Oct
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Sporting Cristal
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Alianza Atletico
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
2–4
L
1 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
26 Aug
vs Sport Boys
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 8%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
