Alianza Atletico vs Universitario Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 18 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUniversitario to win ✓39% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario preview and prediction

The match

Alianza Atletico host Universitario in the Primera División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Alianza Atletico's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Sport Boys 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Universitario's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with FBC Melgar 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Universitario 1–2 Alianza Atletico.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Alianza Atletico and 1.4 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Alianza Atletico 36%, draw 25%, Universitario 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Alianza Atletico36%fair 2.80 · @2.90

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00

Universitario39%fair 2.57 · @2.40

2.80Expected goals

1.37Alianza Atletico xG

1.43Universitario xG

57%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–26%

From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.4 – 1.4 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Universitario to win ✓	39%	2.57	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Universitario / FT Universitario ✓	23%	4.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	9%	11.47	–

Form

Alianza Atletico – last 6

WWLWLW

11 Oct	@ Sport Boys	3–1	W
6 Oct	vs Sport Boys	3–0	W
27 Sep	@ Sport Boys	0–3	L
18 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–1	W
13 Sep	@ Atletico Grau	1–3	L
4 Sep	vs UTC Cajamarca	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Universitario – last 6

DLWDWW

11 Oct	vs FBC Melgar	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	0–4	L
13 Sep	@ Alianza Lima	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	4–2	W
24 Aug	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitario 39%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes