Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Sport Boys to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Boys to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceSport Boys or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.70
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to Estadio Miguel Grau in the Primera División on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT) to face Sport Boys. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sport Boys's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Sport Huancayo 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Atletico Grau 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Sport Boys and 0.6 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 62%, draw 23%, Deportivo Garcilaso 15%.
Safer route: Sport Boys or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sport Boys to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sport Boys 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Deportivo Garcilaso15%fair 6.53 · @4.80
2.20Expected goals
1.58Sport Boys xG
0.62Deportivo Garcilaso xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sport Boys or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.70
–
Form
Sport Boys – last 6
LWDWDD
5 Sep
@ Sport Huancayo
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Sporting Cristal
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Atletico Grau
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Cienciano
5–1
W
16 Aug
@ UCV Moquegua
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WWWDWW
6 Sep
vs Atletico Grau
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Alianza Lima
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Cusco
4–1
W
17 Aug
@ Cienciano
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs UCV Moquegua
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ ADT
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Sport Boys to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Garcilaso 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
