UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Cristal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.28
UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UCV Moquegua take on Sporting Cristal on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Sporting Cristal sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Cusco 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Sporting Cristal 1–2 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for UCV Moquegua and 1.9 for Sporting Cristal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Sporting Cristal or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Cristal to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 0–1 Sporting Cristal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.66 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
Sporting Cristal63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
2.78Expected goals
0.83UCV Moquegua xG
1.95Sporting Cristal xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 0.8 – 1.9 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 63%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 0–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
