Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau host UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Carlos A. Mannucci 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Deportiva Agropecuaria 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Grau and 0.7 for UTC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Grau 60%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 18%.
Safer route: Atletico Grau or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 UTC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau60%fair 1.68 · @1.72
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
UTC Cajamarca18%fair 5.62 · @4.90
2.36Expected goals
1.63Atletico Grau xG
0.74UTC Cajamarca xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.6 – 0.7 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✓
60%
1.68
1.72
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.53
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 6
DDWWLW
9 Jul
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Universitario
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Molinos El Pirata
3–2
W
29 May
vs UCV Moquegua
1–0
W
23 May
@ Cusco
0–1
L
16 May
@ Universitario
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
WWDDLL
12 Jul
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
4–1
W
26 Jun
vs FC Cajamarca
3–1
W
15 Jun
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
2–2
D
31 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–2
D
17 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
8 May
vs FC Cajamarca
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UTC Cajamarca 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
