The Primera División sees ADT take on Universitario on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Union Tarma. ADT are 16th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ADT's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Cienciano 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Universitario's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Millonarios 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for ADT and 1.4 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ADT 1–1 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT32%fair 3.10 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Universitario46%fair 2.19 · @2.32
2.44Expected goals
1.08ADT xG
1.36Universitario xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: ADT 1.1 – 1.4 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✓
46%
2.19
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
ADT – last 6
WLWDLL
10 Jul
@ Cienciano
3–2
W
26 Jun
@ Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
19 Jun
vs Alianza Universidad
3–1
W
12 Jun
@ Minas
0–0
D
30 May
vs Cusco
1–2
L
24 May
@ Sporting Cristal
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
WDLWDD
11 Jul
vs Millonarios
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Atletico Grau
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Molinos El Pirata
0–2
L
31 May
vs Sport Huancayo
2–1
W
27 May
vs Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
20 May
@ Club Nacional
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Universitario.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ADT vs Universitario?
On our numbers ADT have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universitario 46%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Universitario?
ADT vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
