Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Glenavon FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallymena United to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Glenavon FC take on Ballymena United on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Glenavon FC's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Crusaders FC 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Ballymena United's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Annagh United 2–2 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 6. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Ballymena United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Ballymena United 1–1 Glenavon FC. Across their last 2 meetings Glenavon FC have won 0, Ballymena United 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Glenavon FC and 1.8 for Ballymena United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Glenavon FC 36%, draw 19%, Ballymena United 44%.
Value angle: Glenavon FC to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Glenavon FC 1–2 Ballymena United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Glenavon FC36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Ballymena United44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
3.45Expected goals
1.63Glenavon FC xG
1.82Ballymena United xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Glenavon FC 1.6 – 1.8 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
On our numbers Glenavon FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ballymena United 44%.
How many goals will there be in Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
Our predicted score is Glenavon FC 1–2 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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