Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Carrick Rangers to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarrick Rangers to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United preview and prediction
The match
Ballymena United travel to face Carrick Rangers in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 24 July (19:30 WAT).
Form guide
Carrick Rangers's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Queen's University 5–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ballymena United's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Queen's University 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Carrick Rangers and 1.3 for Ballymena United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carrick Rangers 57%, draw 21%, Ballymena United 22%.
Value angle: Carrick Rangers to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Carrick Rangers 2–1 Ballymena United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrick Rangers57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Ballymena United22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
3.51Expected goals
2.19Carrick Rangers xG
1.32Ballymena United xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Carrick Rangers 2.2 – 1.3 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrick Rangers to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Carrick Rangers ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrick Rangers / FT Carrick Rangers✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Carrick Rangers – last 6
WWLDWL
21 Jul
@ Queen's University
5–3
W
18 Jul
@ H&W Welders
3–0
W
6 May
@ Dungannon Swifts
1–3
L
7 Apr
@ Portadown
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Linfield
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Glentoran
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ballymena United – last 6
DWWLWD
18 Jul
@ Queen's University
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Dundela
3–2
W
11 Jul
@ Ballyclare Comrades
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Loughgall
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Strabane Athletic
6–0
W
15 Apr
vs Bangor
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United.
What is the prediction for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
On our numbers Carrick Rangers have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ballymena United 22%.
How many goals will there be in Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
Our predicted score is Carrick Rangers 2–1 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.