Value bet: Liberia to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSierra Leone to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.15
Sierra Leone vs Liberia preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Sierra Leone take on Liberia on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sierra Leone and 1.2 for Liberia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sierra Leone 41%, draw 26%, Liberia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Liberia to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sierra Leone 1–1 Liberia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sierra Leone41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Liberia33%fair 3.00 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.33Sierra Leone xG
1.17Liberia xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sierra Leone 1.3 – 1.2 Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sierra Leone to win✓
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sierra Leone / FT Sierra Leone✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.15
–
Form
Sierra Leone
No recent results on record.
Liberia – last 2
DL
31 Mar
vs Libya
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Benin
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sierra Leone and Liberia.
What is the prediction for Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
On our numbers Sierra Leone have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Liberia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Our predicted score is Sierra Leone 1–1 Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Sierra Leone vs Liberia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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