Value bet: Haiti to win @ 2.74 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaiti to win ✗46% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Haiti vs Peru preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Haiti take on Peru on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Nu Stadium.
Form guide
Haiti's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat New Zealand 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Haiti and 1.1 for Peru. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haiti 46%, draw 22%, Peru 32%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Haiti to win at 2.74 – 46% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Haiti 1–1 Peru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haiti46%fair 2.18 · @2.74
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Peru32%fair 3.15 · @2.58
2.50Expected goals
1.40Haiti xG
1.10Peru xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.4 – 1.1 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haiti to win✗
46%
2.18
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Haiti – last 3
WDL
3 Jun
vs New Zealand
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Iceland
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Peru – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Peru.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Haiti vs Peru?
On our numbers Haiti have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peru 32%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Peru?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs Peru?
Haiti vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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