China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
China PR U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: China PR U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChina PR U23 to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceChina PR U23 or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.58
China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23 preview and prediction
The match
China PR U23 host Tajikistan U23 in the Friendlies on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT).
Form guide
China PR U23's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Vietnam U23 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for China PR U23 and 0.5 for Tajikistan U23. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: China PR U23 to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was China PR U23 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: China PR U23 1–0 Tajikistan U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China PR U2361%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Tajikistan U2317%fair 5.83 · @3.70
1.80Expected goals
1.32China PR U23 xG
0.48Tajikistan U23 xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: China PR U23 1.3 – 0.5 Tajikistan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China PR U23 to win✓
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
China PR U23 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China PR U23 / FT China PR U23✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.58
–
Form
China PR U23 – last 3
WDD
31 Mar
vs Vietnam U23
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Korea DPR U23
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Thailand U23
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tajikistan U23 – last 1
W
31 Mar
@ India U23
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China PR U23 and Tajikistan U23.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?
Our pick is China PR U23 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tajikistan U23 17%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 1–0 Tajikistan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?
China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23 (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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