Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Belgium vs Tunisia preview and prediction
The match
Belgium host Tunisia in the Friendlies on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Roi Baudouin.
Form guide
Tunisia's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Austria 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Belgium and 0.5 for Tunisia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Belgium 71%, draw 19%, Tunisia 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Belgium 1–0 Tunisia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belgium71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.80
Tunisia10%fair 10.45 · @10.50
2.48Expected goals
1.94Belgium xG
0.54Tunisia xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Belgium 1.9 – 0.5 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.38
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
Belgium – last 2
WD
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tunisia – last 3
LDW
1 Jun
@ Austria
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Canada
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Haiti
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Tunisia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Belgium vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Belgium have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tunisia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Belgium 1–0 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Tunisia?
Belgium vs Tunisia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Roi Baudouin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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