Defensor Sporting vs Boston River prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Boston River to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗45% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Defensor Sporting vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
Boston River travel to Estadio Luis Franzini in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 7 June (22:30 WAT) to face Defensor Sporting. Defensor Sporting are 13th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Boston River sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensor Sporting's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Racing Montevideo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Boston River's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Defensor Sporting and 1.0 for Boston River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensor Sporting 45%, draw 22%, Boston River 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Boston River to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Defensor Sporting 1–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensor Sporting45%fair 2.23 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Boston River33%fair 3.01 · @3.60
2.21Expected goals
1.22Defensor Sporting xG
0.99Boston River xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.2 – 1.0 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
45%
2.23
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Defensor Sporting – last 6
DLLLDW
30 May
@ Racing Montevideo
0–0
D
24 May
vs Penarol
0–2
L
17 May
@ Central Espanol
1–2
L
10 May
vs Juventud
1–2
L
4 May
@ Penarol
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Progreso
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 6
LLWLLL
1 Jun
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
26 May
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
20 May
vs O'Higgins
3–2
W
11 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
7 May
vs Millonarios
2–4
L
29 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boston River 33%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?
Defensor Sporting vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
