Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.46
Cerro vs Penarol preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Cerro take on Penarol on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Cerro are 9th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Penarol sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cerro's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Cerro Largo 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Penarol's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Santa Fe 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Penarol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Penarol 3–1 Cerro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Cerro and 1.7 for Penarol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro 17%, draw 21%, Penarol 63%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cerro 0–1 Penarol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro17%fair 5.98 · @6.25
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.65
Penarol63%fair 1.60 · @1.52
2.39Expected goals
0.70Cerro xG
1.69Penarol xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Cerro 0.7 – 1.7 Penarol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cerro vs Penarol?
On our numbers Cerro have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penarol 63%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Penarol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Penarol?
Our predicted score is Cerro 0–1 Penarol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Penarol?
Cerro vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
