Albion FC travel to Parque Abraham Paladino in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 7 June (14:00 WAT) to face Progreso. Progreso are 7th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Albion FC sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Progreso's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Danubio 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Albion FC's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Albion FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Progreso and 1.4 for Albion FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Progreso 32%, draw 22%, Albion FC 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Progreso 1–1 Albion FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progreso32%fair 3.17 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Albion FC46%fair 2.16 · @2.18
2.42Expected goals
1.06Progreso xG
1.37Albion FC xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Progreso 1.1 – 1.4 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✓
46%
2.16
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Progreso – last 6
WLLLDD
30 May
@ Danubio
2–1
W
23 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
3 May
vs Cerro Largo
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
3–3
D
26 Mar
@ Racing Montevideo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Albion FC – last 6
LDWWDD
31 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
17 May
vs Wanderers
0–0
D
4 May
vs Club Nacional
3–2
W
18 Apr
vs Central Espanol
6–1
W
5 Apr
vs Cerro Largo
2–2
D
31 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progreso and Albion FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Progreso vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Progreso have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albion FC 46%.
How many goals will there be in Progreso vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progreso vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Progreso 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Progreso vs Albion FC?
Progreso vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
