Value bet: Both teams to score @ 4.00 – our chance 51% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +106%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotswana to win ✗42% · @15.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @4.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Botswana vs Tunisia preview and prediction
The match
Tunisia travel to face Botswana in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Monday 28 September (20:00 WAT). Botswana are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Tunisia sit 2nd on 10 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tunisia's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Uganda 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Botswana and 1.3 for Tunisia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botswana 42%, draw 20%, Tunisia 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 4.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 4.00 – 51% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Botswana 1–1 Tunisia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botswana42%fair 2.40 · @15.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @5.50
Tunisia38%fair 2.61 · @1.17
2.76Expected goals
1.41Botswana xG
1.34Tunisia xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Botswana 1.4 – 1.3 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botswana to win✗
42%
2.40
15.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
4.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botswana / FT Botswana✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Botswana – last 1
D
24 Sep
@ Libya
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tunisia – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Sep
vs Uganda
1–1
D
26 Jun
vs Netherlands
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs Japan
0–4
L
15 Jun
@ Sweden
1–5
L
6 Jun
@ Belgium
0–5
L
1 Jun
@ Austria
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botswana and Tunisia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Botswana vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Botswana have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tunisia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Botswana vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botswana vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Botswana 1–1 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botswana vs Tunisia?
Botswana vs Tunisia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central African Republic0
Burkina Faso1
Equatorial Guinea1
Sierra Leone0
Zimbabwe1
Congo DR2