Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction & analysis
Burkina Faso to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Central African Republic 0.9 – 2.1 Burkina Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Burkina Faso travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 16% for Central African Republic.
Central African Republic have taken 1 points from their last 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 per game. Burkina Faso have 3 points from their last 4 (0W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (0.9 for Central African Republic, 2.1 for Burkina Faso). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Burkina Faso to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Burkina Faso to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Burkina Faso or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Burkina Faso ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 11% | 9.07 | – |
Form
Central African Republic – last 3
| 24 Sep | @ Mauritania | 1–3 | L |
| 9 Jun | @ Angola | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Jun | vs Togo | 1–1 | D |
Burkina Faso – last 4
| 25 Sep | vs Benin | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Belarus | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Jun | @ Russia | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Guinea-Bissau | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 6 | +24 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gabon | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 4 |  Central African Republic | 6 | -11 | 3 |
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What is the prediction for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
Our pick is Burkina Faso to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
On our numbers Central African Republic have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Burkina Faso 66%.
How many goals will there be in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Larbi Zaouli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.