Zimbabwe vs Congo DR prediction & analysis
Congo DR or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zimbabwe 1.1 – 2.4 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Congo DR travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 13% for Zimbabwe.
Zimbabwe have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Congo DR have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Zimbabwe come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.1 for Zimbabwe, 2.4 for Congo DR). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Congo DR or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.25 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Congo DR to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Congo DR or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Congo DR ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Congo DR / FT Congo DR ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 10% | 10.43 | – |
Form
Zimbabwe – last 3
| 24 Sep | @ Sierra Leone | 3–2 | W |
| 26 May | @ Nigeria | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Zambia U23 | 1–0 | W |
Congo DR – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Equatorial Guinea | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Jul | @ England | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | vs Uzbekistan | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jun | @ Colombia | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jun | @ Portugal | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | vs Chile | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zimbabwe and Congo DR.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Congo DR | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tanzania | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Guinea | 6 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ethiopia | 6 | -9 | 4 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League hub
Central African Republic0
Burkina Faso1
Equatorial Guinea1
Sierra Leone0
Botswana2
Tunisia2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
Our pick is Congo DR or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Zimbabwe have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Congo DR 61%.
How many goals will there be in Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
Zimbabwe vs Congo DR (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at National Sports Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.