Mali vs Cape Verde Islands prediction & analysis
Mali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mali to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Mali hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 17% for Cape Verde Islands.
Mali have taken 1 points from their last 1 matches (0W 1D 0L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Cape Verde Islands have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Cape Verde Islands come into this in clearly the better form.
Our pick is Mali or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Mali to win at 1.91 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mali to win ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mali or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.20 |
Form
Mali – last 1
| 31 Mar | @ Russia | 0–0 | D |
Cape Verde Islands – last 6
| 3 Jul | @ Argentina | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jun | vs Saudi Arabia | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Uruguay | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Jun | @ Spain | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Bermuda | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | vs Serbia | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mali and Cape Verde Islands.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Egypt | 6 | +10 | 14 |
| 2 |  Botswana | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Mauritania | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cape Verde Islands | 6 | -4 | 4 |
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Ethiopia0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our pick is Mali or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
On our numbers Mali have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cape Verde Islands 17%.
When is Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
Mali vs Cape Verde Islands (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 26 Mars.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.