Latvia vs Armenia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Latvia 0.7 – 1.4 Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Armenia travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 27% for Latvia.
Latvia have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Armenia have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.7 for Latvia, 1.4 for Armenia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Latvia have won 0, Armenia have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Armenia to win | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Armenia / FT Armenia | 32% | 3.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 17% | 5.94 | – |
Form
Latvia – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Cyprus | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Montenegro | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Cyprus | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Armenia | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Jun | vs Faroe Islands | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Gibraltar | 1–0 | W |
Armenia – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Montenegro | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Cyprus | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Montenegro | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Latvia | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Jun | vs Moldova | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Kazakhstan | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 25 Sep 2026 | Armenia v Latvia | 2–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
France
Türkiye
Belgium
Italy
Spain
England
Croatia
CzechiaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Latvia vs Armenia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance.
Who will win Latvia vs Armenia?
On our numbers Latvia have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Armenia 62%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Armenia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Latvia vs Armenia?
Latvia vs Armenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.