The UEFA Nations League sees Croatia take on Czechia on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT). Croatia are 3rd with 3 points from 4 games, while Czechia sit 4th on 0 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Croatia's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Spain 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Czechia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to England 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Croatia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished Czechia 1–2 Croatia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.8 for Croatia and 1.3 for Czechia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Croatia 60%, draw 20%, Czechia 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.87.
Prediction
Our pick: Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.87, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Croatia 1–1 Czechia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Croatia60%fair 1.68 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.93
Czechia20%fair 4.90 · @7.60
3.14Expected goals
1.80Croatia xG
1.34Czechia xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Croatia 1.8 – 1.3 Czechia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Croatia
Czechia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-10%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
+69%
+26%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.40
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.87.
Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?
On our numbers Croatia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Czechia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czechia?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czechia?
Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Czechia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Czechia?
Croatia vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
France
Türkiye
Belgium
Italy