Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQatar to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceQatar or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.06
Qatar vs El Salvador preview and prediction
The match
Qatar host El Salvador in the Friendlies on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at BMO Stadium.
Form guide
El Salvador's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to South Korea 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for Qatar and 0.3 for El Salvador. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qatar 65%, draw 25%, El Salvador 10%.
Safer route: Qatar or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qatar 1–0 El Salvador. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qatar65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
El Salvador10%fair 10.19 · @5.30
1.73Expected goals
1.39Qatar xG
0.34El Salvador xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–018%
2–017%
1–18%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: Qatar 1.4 – 0.3 El Salvador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qatar to win✗
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Qatar or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qatar / FT Qatar✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.06
–
Form
Qatar – last 1
L
28 May
@ Rep. Of Ireland
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Salvador – last 3
LWD
4 Jun
@ South Korea
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Martinique
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Dominican Republic
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qatar and El Salvador.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Qatar vs El Salvador?
On our numbers Qatar have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Salvador 10%.
How many goals will there be in Qatar vs El Salvador?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qatar vs El Salvador?
Our predicted score is Qatar 1–0 El Salvador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Qatar vs El Salvador?
Qatar vs El Salvador (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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