The Serie D Girone D sees Pistoiese take on Piacenza on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Pistoiese's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Cittadella Vis Modena 5–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Piacenza's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Crema 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Piacenza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Pistoiese and 0.9 for Piacenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pistoiese 2–0 Piacenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pistoiese60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Piacenza18%fair 5.44 · @5.25
2.65Expected goals
1.79Pistoiese xG
0.86Piacenza xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pistoiese 1.8 – 0.9 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
Pistoiese – last 6
WDLWWD
3 May
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
5–0
W
26 Apr
@ Desenzano Calvina
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Coriano
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Crema
4–2
W
29 Mar
@ Sant'Angelo
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 6
WWWLWW
3 May
vs Crema
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pro Sesto
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Trevigliese
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Progresso
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Correggese
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pistoiese and Piacenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Pistoiese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Piacenza 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Pistoiese 2–0 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
Pistoiese vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Sasso Marconi Zola0
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