Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Coriano to win @ 3.35 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoriano to win ✗39% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Crema vs Coriano preview and prediction
The match
Coriano travel to face Crema in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). Crema are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Coriano sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Crema's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Piacenza 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coriano's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Pro Palazzolo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Coriano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Crema and 1.2 for Coriano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crema 37%, draw 24%, Coriano 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Coriano to win at 3.35 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Crema 1–1 Coriano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crema37%fair 2.71 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Coriano39%fair 2.56 · @3.35
2.30Expected goals
1.13Crema xG
1.17Coriano xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Crema 1.1 – 1.2 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coriano to win✗
39%
2.56
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coriano / FT Coriano✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.50
–
Form
Crema – last 6
LDLLDD
3 May
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Correggese
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Pistoiese
2–4
L
29 Mar
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Coriano – last 6
DWLDLD
3 May
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Pistoiese
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Sangiuliano City
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rovato Vertovese
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crema and Coriano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Crema vs Coriano?
On our numbers Crema have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coriano 39%.
How many goals will there be in Crema vs Coriano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crema vs Coriano?
Our predicted score is Crema 1–1 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Crema vs Coriano?
Crema vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0
Pro Palazzolo2
Piacenza1