Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lentigione to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLentigione to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Lentigione take on Pro Palazzolo on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Lentigione's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Sant'Angelo 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pro Palazzolo's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Coriano 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lentigione arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Pro Palazzolo 1–2 Lentigione.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Lentigione and 0.8 for Pro Palazzolo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lentigione 57%, draw 21%, Pro Palazzolo 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Lentigione to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lentigione 1–0 Pro Palazzolo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lentigione57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.20
Pro Palazzolo22%fair 4.58 · @3.95
2.30Expected goals
1.51Lentigione xG
0.79Pro Palazzolo xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lentigione 1.5 – 0.8 Pro Palazzolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pro Palazzolo 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–0 Pro Palazzolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo?
Lentigione vs Pro Palazzolo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0
Piacenza1