Value bet: Sasso Marconi Zola to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultImolese to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola preview and prediction
The match
Imolese host Sasso Marconi Zola in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Imolese's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Rovato Vertovese 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sasso Marconi Zola's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Progresso 1–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Imolese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Sasso Marconi Zola 1–1 Imolese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Imolese and 1.1 for Sasso Marconi Zola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Sasso Marconi Zola to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Imolese 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imolese43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Sasso Marconi Zola35%fair 2.90 · @3.35
2.36Expected goals
1.27Imolese xG
1.09Sasso Marconi Zola xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Imolese 1.3 – 1.1 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
On our numbers Imolese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sasso Marconi Zola 35%.
How many goals will there be in Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our predicted score is Imolese 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Imolese vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Crema2
Coriano0
Lentigione3
Pro Palazzolo2
Pistoiese1
Piacenza1