Almere City FC vs Den Bosch prediction & analysis

Almere City FC vs Den Bosch preview and prediction

The match

The Eredivisie sees Almere City FC take on Den Bosch on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Yanmar Stadion.

Form guide

Almere City FC's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Den Bosch 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Den Bosch's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Den Bosch 2–3 Almere City FC. Across their last 2 meetings Almere City FC have won 1, Den Bosch 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.9 for Almere City FC and 1.4 for Den Bosch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Almere City FC 65%, draw 20%, Den Bosch 15%.
• Safer route: Almere City FC or draw (85%) at 1.20.
• Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
• Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Almere City FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Den Bosch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.