The Eredivisie sees Ajax take on PSV Eindhoven on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Johan Cruijff Arena. Ajax are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while PSV Eindhoven sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PSV Eindhoven's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat PEC Zwolle 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Ajax and 1.8 for PSV Eindhoven. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ajax 2–1 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ajax41%fair 2.45 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.95
PSV Eindhoven38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
3.67Expected goals
1.86Ajax xG
1.80PSV Eindhoven xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Ajax 1.9 – 1.8 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win
41%
2.45
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.83
Half-time result
Level at half-time
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.49
–
Form
Ajax – last 2
DD
22 Mar
@ Feyenoord
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 4
WLLL
23 Apr
vs PEC Zwolle
6–1
W
22 Mar
@ Telstar
1–3
L
3 Mar
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ FC Volendam
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers Ajax have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSV Eindhoven 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is Ajax 2–1 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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