Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Cerro to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Espanol to win ✓44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Central Espanol vs Cerro preview and prediction
The match
Cerro travel to Parque Palermo in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 26 April (14:00 WAT) to face Central Espanol. Central Espanol are 16th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Cerro sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Central Espanol's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Albion FC 1–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Cerro's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Torque 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Central Espanol and 1.1 for Cerro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Espanol 44%, draw 22%, Cerro 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Cerro to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Central Espanol 1–1 Cerro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Espanol44%fair 2.27 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Cerro34%fair 2.98 · @3.50
2.37Expected goals
1.29Central Espanol xG
1.08Cerro xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.3 – 1.1 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Espanol to win✓
44%
2.27
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Central Espanol / FT Central Espanol✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Central Espanol – last 6
LWWDLD
18 Apr
@ Albion FC
1–6
L
4 Apr
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cerro – last 6
DDWWLL
19 Apr
vs Atletico Torque
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Cerro Largo
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Juventud
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Penarol
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Racing Montevideo
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Cerro.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Cerro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Cerro?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Cerro?
Central Espanol vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
