Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew England Revolution to win ✗39% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.43
New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC preview and prediction
The match
Orlando City SC travel to Gillette Stadium in the US Open Cup on Thursday 30 April (00:30 WAT) to face New England Revolution.
Form guide
New England Revolution's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Inter Miami 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Orlando City SC's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to DC United 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for New England Revolution and 1.2 for Orlando City SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England Revolution 39%, draw 22%, Orlando City SC 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Orlando City SC to win at 2.95 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 Orlando City SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England Revolution39%fair 2.57 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Orlando City SC39%fair 2.58 · @2.95
2.45Expected goals
1.22New England Revolution xG
1.22Orlando City SC xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.2 – 1.2 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✗
39%
2.57
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.43
–
Form
New England Revolution – last 6
DWWWLW
26 Apr
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs DC United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ St. Louis City
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orlando City SC – last 6
LWLWDL
26 Apr
@ DC United
2–3
L
23 Apr
vs Charlotte
4–1
W
19 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Naples
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orlando City SC 39%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New York Red Bulls1
New York City FC3
Columbus Crew4
One Knoxville1
Chicago Fire1
St. Louis City2
Houston Dynamo1
Louisville City1
Colorado Rapids1
Colorado Springs1