Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Bulgaria to win @ 1.98 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBulgaria to win ✗57% · @1.98
Double chanceBulgaria or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Moldova vs Bulgaria preview and prediction
The match
Moldova host Bulgaria in the Friendlies on Friday 5 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Zimbru.
Form guide
Bulgaria's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Montenegro 0–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for Moldova and 1.7 for Bulgaria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moldova 21%, draw 22%, Bulgaria 57%.
Safer route: Bulgaria or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Bulgaria to win at 1.98 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bulgaria or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Moldova 0–1 Bulgaria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moldova21%fair 4.69 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Bulgaria57%fair 1.77 · @1.98
2.54Expected goals
0.89Moldova xG
1.65Bulgaria xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Moldova 0.9 – 1.7 Bulgaria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bulgaria to win✗
57%
1.77
1.98 ▲
Double chance
Bulgaria or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bulgaria / FT Bulgaria✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Moldova – last 2
LL
30 Mar
@ Cyprus
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bulgaria – last 3
LWW
1 Jun
vs Montenegro
0–1
L
30 Mar
@ Indonesia
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Solomon Islands
10–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moldova and Bulgaria.
Our pick is Bulgaria or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Moldova vs Bulgaria?
On our numbers Moldova have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bulgaria 57%.
How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Bulgaria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Bulgaria?
Our predicted score is Moldova 0–1 Bulgaria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Moldova vs Bulgaria?
Moldova vs Bulgaria (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Zimbru.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czech Republic3
Guatemala1
Mexico5
Serbia1
Singapore1
China2
Hong Kong2
Mongolia0
Thailand2
Kuwait2
Indonesia3
Oman0
Tajikistan3
India1
Slovakia2
Montenegro2