Slovakia vs Montenegro prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slovakia 1.8 – 0.8 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slovakia are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Montenegro.
Slovakia have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Montenegro have 6 points from their last 3 (2W 0D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Slovakia, 0.8 for Montenegro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slovakia to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.61 |
| Double chance | Slovakia or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Slovakia ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slovakia / FT Slovakia ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.35 | – |
Form
Slovakia – last 3
| 1 Jun | vs Malta | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Romania | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Kosovo | 3–4 | L |
Montenegro – last 3
| 1 Jun | @ Bulgaria | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Slovenia | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Andorra | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovakia and Montenegro.
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What is the prediction for Slovakia vs Montenegro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Slovakia vs Montenegro?
On our numbers Slovakia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montenegro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Slovakia vs Montenegro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Slovakia vs Montenegro?
Slovakia vs Montenegro (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Košická futbalová aréna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.