Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Mexico vs Serbia preview and prediction
The match
Serbia travel to Estadio Nemesio Diez in the Friendlies on Friday 5 June (03:00 WAT) to face Mexico.
Form guide
Mexico's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Australia 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.6 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Serbia's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Cape Verde Islands 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mexico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 2.0 for Mexico and 0.5 for Serbia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mexico 71%, draw 22%, Serbia 7%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Mexico 1–0 Serbia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mexico71%fair 1.41 · @1.23
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @5.70
Serbia7%fair 14.12 · @13.00
2.45Expected goals
1.95Mexico xG
0.49Serbia xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mexico 2.0 – 0.5 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win✓
71%
1.41
1.23
Double chance
Mexico or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.42
Half-time result
Mexico ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Mexico – last 5
WWDDW
31 May
vs Australia
1–0
W
23 May
vs Ghana
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Belgium
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Portugal
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Iceland
4–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Serbia – last 3
LWL
31 May
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Spain
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Serbia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Mexico vs Serbia?
On our numbers Mexico have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Serbia 7%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Serbia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Serbia?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Serbia?
Mexico vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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