Tajikistan vs India prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tajikistan 1.6 – 0.5 India expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tajikistan are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for India.
Tajikistan have taken 1 points from their last 1 matches (0W 1D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. India have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.6 for Tajikistan, 0.5 for India). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tajikistan to win ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Tajikistan or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.77 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tajikistan / FT Tajikistan ✓ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 4.92 | – |
Form
Tajikistan – last 1
| 31 Mar | vs Philippines | 1–1 | D |
India – last 2
| 27 May | @ Jamaica | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Hong Kong | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tajikistan and India.
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What is the prediction for Tajikistan vs India?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tajikistan vs India?
On our numbers Tajikistan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and India 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tajikistan vs India?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Tajikistan vs India?
Tajikistan vs India (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hisor Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.