Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Czechia to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCzechia to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceCzechia or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Czechia vs South Africa preview and prediction
The match
Czechia host South Africa in the World Cup on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Form guide
Czechia's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to South Korea 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
South Africa's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Mexico 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Czechia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Czechia and 0.7 for South Africa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Czechia 63%, draw 23%, South Africa 14%.
Safer route: Czechia or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Czechia to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Czechia or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Czechia 1–0 South Africa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Czechia63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.65
South Africa14%fair 6.96 · @4.35
2.49Expected goals
1.78Czechia xG
0.71South Africa xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Czechia 1.8 – 0.7 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Czechia to win✗
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Czechia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Czechia ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Czechia / FT Czechia✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Czechia – last 3
LWW
12 Jun
@ South Korea
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–1
W
31 May
vs Kosovo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 4
LDLD
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Czechia and South Africa.
What is the prediction for Czechia vs South Africa?
Our pick is Czechia or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Czechia vs South Africa?
On our numbers Czechia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and South Africa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Czechia vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Czechia vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Czechia 1–0 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Czechia vs South Africa?
Czechia vs South Africa (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.