Ghana vs Panama prediction & analysis
Ghana or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ghana 1.3 – 1.1 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ghana hold the edge on home soil with a 27% chance of winning, against 18% for Panama, and a draw (56%) is a real possibility.
Ghana have taken 1 points from their last 4 matches (0W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5 per game. Panama have 8 points from their last 5 (2W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. Panama come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Ghana, 1.1 for Panama). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Ghana or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.20 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 3.20 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ghana or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.30 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ghana / FT Ghana ✗ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.65 | – |
Form
Ghana – last 4
| 2 Jun | @ Wales | 1–1 | D |
| 23 May | @ Mexico | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | @ Germany | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Austria | 1–5 | L |
Panama – last 5
| 6 Jun | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Jun | vs Dominican Republic | 4–2 | W |
| 31 May | @ Brazil | 2–6 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ South Africa | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ South Africa | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Panama.
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Qatar0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ghana vs Panama?
Our pick is Ghana or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ghana vs Panama?
On our numbers Ghana have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Panama 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Panama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Ghana vs Panama?
Ghana vs Panama (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.