Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanada to win ✓71% · @1.27
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Canada vs Qatar preview and prediction
The match
Canada host Qatar in the World Cup on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at BC Place.
Form guide
Canada's last 4: DDWD Most recently they drew with Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qatar's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Switzerland 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Canada arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Canada and 0.6 for Qatar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canada 71%, draw 17%, Qatar 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Canada 1–0 Qatar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canada71%fair 1.41 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @5.25
Qatar12%fair 8.35 · @10.75
2.44Expected goals
1.88Canada xG
0.56Qatar xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Canada 1.9 – 0.6 Qatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.42
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
Canada – last 4
DDWD
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Tunisia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Qatar – last 3
DDL
13 Jun
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs El Salvador
0–0
D
28 May
@ Rep. Of Ireland
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Qatar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Canada vs Qatar?
On our numbers Canada have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Qatar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Qatar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Qatar?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Qatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Qatar?
Canada vs Qatar (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ghana1
Panama0
Uzbekistan1
Colombia3
Czechia1
South Africa1
Switzerland4
Bosnia & Herzegovina1