Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultColombia to win ✓72% · @1.37
Double chanceColombia or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Uzbekistan vs Colombia preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Uzbekistan take on Colombia on Thursday 18 June, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca.
Form guide
Uzbekistan's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Netherlands 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Colombia's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Jordan 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.6 for Uzbekistan and 2.1 for Colombia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Uzbekistan 0–2 Colombia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uzbekistan9%fair 11.29 · @9.20
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.50
Colombia72%fair 1.39 · @1.37
2.70Expected goals
0.60Uzbekistan xG
2.10Colombia xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Uzbekistan 0.6 – 2.1 Colombia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✓
72%
1.39
1.37
Double chance
Colombia or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Colombia ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Uzbekistan – last 3
LLW
8 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Canada
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Colombia – last 3
WLL
8 Jun
vs Jordan
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs France
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Croatia
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Colombia.
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Colombia 72%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 0–2 Colombia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Uzbekistan vs Colombia (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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