Value bet: CFRJ Maricá to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelo Clube to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Velo Clube take on CFRJ Maricá on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.
Form guide
Velo Clube's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
CFRJ Maricá's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Nova Iguaçu 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CFRJ Maricá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Velo Clube and 0.9 for CFRJ Maricá. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Velo Clube 44%, draw 24%, CFRJ Maricá 32%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Value angle: CFRJ Maricá to win at 3.80 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Velo Clube 1–0 CFRJ Maricá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velo Clube44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.70
CFRJ Maricá32%fair 3.15 · @3.80
1.94Expected goals
1.09Velo Clube xG
0.85CFRJ Maricá xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Velo Clube 1.1 – 0.9 CFRJ Maricá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velo Clube to win✓
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velo Clube / FT Velo Clube✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.41
–
Form
Velo Clube – last 3
LDL
30 May
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–1
L
23 May
vs XV de Piracicaba
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos
0–7
L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CFRJ Maricá – last 6
WWWWWL
30 May
vs Nova Iguaçu
1–0
W
27 May
vs Olaria
2–1
W
20 May
@ América RJ
1–0
W
13 May
vs São Gonçalo EC RJ
1–0
W
6 May
vs Cabofriense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velo Clube and CFRJ Maricá.
What is the prediction for Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?
On our numbers Velo Clube have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CFRJ Maricá 32%.
How many goals will there be in Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?
Our predicted score is Velo Clube 1–0 CFRJ Maricá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?
Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.