Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Parnahyba to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultParnahyba to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceParnahyba or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.91
Parnahyba vs Moto Club preview and prediction
The match
Moto Club travel to face Parnahyba in the Serie D on Sunday 7 June (19:30 WAT).
Form guide
Parnahyba's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Iguatu 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Moto Club's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Maracanã 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Moto Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Parnahyba and 0.7 for Moto Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parnahyba 61%, draw 24%, Moto Club 15%.
Safer route: Parnahyba or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Parnahyba to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Parnahyba or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parnahyba 1–0 Moto Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parnahyba61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.90
Moto Club15%fair 6.85 · @3.75
2.50Expected goals
1.76Parnahyba xG
0.74Moto Club xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Parnahyba 1.8 – 0.7 Moto Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parnahyba to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Parnahyba or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Parnahyba ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parnahyba / FT Parnahyba✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.91
–
Form
Parnahyba – last 5
DLLDL
30 May
@ Iguatu
2–2
D
24 May
vs Maracanã
0–1
L
17 May
@ Sampaio Correa
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Teresina Esporte Club
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Fluminense PI
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Moto Club – last 3
LLW
30 May
vs Maracanã
1–2
L
24 May
@ Sampaio Correa
0–4
L
6 May
vs Sampaio Correa
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parnahyba and Moto Club.
What is the prediction for Parnahyba vs Moto Club?
Our pick is Parnahyba or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Parnahyba vs Moto Club?
On our numbers Parnahyba have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moto Club 15%.
How many goals will there be in Parnahyba vs Moto Club?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parnahyba vs Moto Club?
Our predicted score is Parnahyba 1–0 Moto Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Parnahyba vs Moto Club?
Parnahyba vs Moto Club (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.