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Serie D · Brazil

Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.74

Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction

The match

Marcílio Dias travel to face Independiente FSJ in the Serie D on Sunday 7 June (19:00 WAT).

Form guide

Independiente FSJ's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Sao Jose 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Sao Jose 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Marcílio Dias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Marcílio Dias 0–0 Independiente FSJ.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.2 goals: 0.5 for Independiente FSJ and 0.7 for Marcílio Dias. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 89% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Independiente FSJ 0–0 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Independiente FSJ31%fair 3.26 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.50
Marcílio Dias43%fair 2.33 · @2.45
1.17Expected goals
0.49Independiente FSJ xG
0.68Marcílio Dias xG
44%Both score
11%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–031%
0–121%
1–015%
1–110%
0–27%
2–04%

From our goals model: Independiente FSJ 0.5 – 0.7 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarcílio Dias to win ✗43%2.332.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.801.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓64%1.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.74–

Form

Independiente FSJ – last 4

LDLD
31 May@ Sao Jose0–1L
24 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
19 Mayvs Azuriz0–1L
5 Apr@ Marcílio Dias0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Marcílio Dias – last 5

DDWLW
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
26 Feb@ Carlos Renaux1–2L
21 Feb@ Figueirense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Marcílio Dias v Independiente FSJ0–0
Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

On our numbers Independiente FSJ have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Marcílio Dias 43%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

We expect about 1.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 11% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Our predicted score is Independiente FSJ 0–0 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.2 goals in total.

When is Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.