Value bet: Joinville to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Luiz to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
São Luiz vs Joinville preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees São Luiz take on Joinville on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
São Luiz's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Cascavel 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Joinville's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Guarany de Bagé 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for São Luiz and 0.8 for Joinville. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Luiz 38%, draw 28%, Joinville 34%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Joinville to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: São Luiz 0–0 Joinville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Luiz38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.50
Joinville34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
1.67Expected goals
0.87São Luiz xG
0.80Joinville xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: São Luiz 0.9 – 0.8 Joinville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Luiz to win✓
38%
2.61
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
São Luiz – last 5
DDWLL
31 May
@ Cascavel
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Novo Hamburgo
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Novo Hamburgo
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Maranhão
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Caxias
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Joinville – last 6
WLLLWL
30 May
vs Guarany de Bagé
2–0
W
10 Mar
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Marcílio Dias
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Figueirense
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs CSA
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Carlos Renaux
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Luiz and Joinville.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win São Luiz vs Joinville?
On our numbers São Luiz have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Joinville 34%.
How many goals will there be in São Luiz vs Joinville?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Luiz vs Joinville?
Our predicted score is São Luiz 0–0 Joinville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is São Luiz vs Joinville?
São Luiz vs Joinville (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Blumenau0
Sao Jose1
Independiente FSJ0
Marcílio Dias0
Parnahyba1
Moto Club0
Sampaio Correa0
Iguatu1
Guarany de Bagé0
Cianorte1
Santa Catarina1
Cascavel0
Capital Brasilia2
União Rondonópolis0
Goiatuba EC1
CEOV Operário0