Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTombense to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceTombense or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Tombense vs Vitória ES preview and prediction
The match
Vitória ES travel to Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida in the Serie D on Sunday 14 June (21:00 WAT) to face Tombense.
Form guide
Tombense's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Porto BA 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Vitória ES's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Rio Branco-VN 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Tombense and 0.5 for Vitória ES. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tombense 66%, draw 21%, Vitória ES 14%.
Safer route: Tombense or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tombense to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tombense 1–0 Vitória ES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tombense66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.00
Vitória ES14%fair 7.40 · @4.60
2.17Expected goals
1.63Tombense xG
0.54Vitória ES xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tombense 1.6 – 0.5 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tombense to win✗
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Tombense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tombense / FT Tombense✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Tombense – last 6
WLDLDW
30 May
@ Porto BA
3–1
W
7 May
@ Juventude
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs São Bernardo
2–2
D
16 Apr
@ Volta Redonda
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs America Mineiro
3–3
D
26 Mar
vs Avai
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vitória ES – last 6
LLDWWW
6 Jun
vs Rio Branco-VN
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Vilavelhense
0–1
L
30 May
vs Real Noroeste
1–1
D
27 May
vs Sport Brasil ES
5–0
W
24 May
@ Rio Branco ES
2–0
W
20 May
vs Serra Talhada
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and Vitória ES.
What is the prediction for Tombense vs Vitória ES?
Our pick is Tombense to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tombense vs Vitória ES?
On our numbers Tombense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitória ES 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs Vitória ES?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs Vitória ES?
Our predicted score is Tombense 1–0 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs Vitória ES?
Tombense vs Vitória ES (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1